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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nueva Chicago v Quilmes: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Nueva Chicago
1–0
FT

Quilmes

LLWDW
Nueva Chicago 38%Draw 26%Quilmes 36% Expected goals 0.92 – 0.88
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 2.15 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.15Odds

Picks by market

ResultNueva Chicago to win ✓38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.18

Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Monday 7 September: Nueva Chicago v Quilmes in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Nueva Chicago. In the table, Nueva Chicago are 17th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Quilmes are 13th (lower half) with 45.

Current form

Nueva Chicago, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Midland, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Quilmes, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Temperley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Quilmes, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Nueva Chicago.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nueva Chicago 0.9 xG, Quilmes 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nueva Chicago 38%, draw 26%, Quilmes 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nueva Chicago 1–1 Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nueva Chicago38%fair 2.61 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.75
Quilmes36%fair 2.80 · @2.90
1.80Expected goals
0.92Nueva Chicago xG
0.88Quilmes xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 0.9 – 0.9 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNueva Chicago to win ✓38%2.612.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.15 ▲
Draw no betNueva Chicago (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapQuilmes +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreNueva Chicago to score first ✓43%2.33–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6%16.18–

Recent results

Nueva Chicago – last 6

LLLLWL
29 Aug@ Midland0–2L
22 Augvs Atlanta0–1L
17 Aug@ All Boys0–1L
9 Aug@ Gimnasia Y Tiro0–2L
1 Augvs San Martin Tucuman2–1W
25 Jul@ Atletico DE Rafaela0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Quilmes – last 6

LLWDWD
30 Augvs Temperley0–1L
23 Aug@ Deportivo Maipu0–1L
15 Augvs San Telmo3–0W
9 Augvs Almagro1–1D
5 Augvs Gimnasia Jujuy2–0W
1 Aug@ Patronato3–3D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nueva Chicago and Quilmes.

Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.

Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?

On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Quilmes 36%.

How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?

Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 1–1 Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?

Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.