Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTristan Suarez to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.96
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Primera Nacional brings Tristan Suarez against San Martin Tucuman at Estadio 20 de Octubre. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Tristan Suarez are 1st, leading the league, on 64 points after 36 matches; San Martin Tucuman are 10th (lower half) with 47. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tristan Suarez, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico DE Rafaela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Atlético Güemes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tristan Suarez, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for San Martin Tucuman.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended San Martin Tucuman 0–0 Tristan Suarez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tristan Suarez 1.0 xG, San Martin Tucuman 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tristan Suarez 43%, draw 26%, San Martin Tucuman 31%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: San Martin Tucuman to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tristan Suarez 1–0 San Martin Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tristan Suarez43%fair 2.32 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.75
San Martin Tucuman31%fair 3.23 · @3.50
1.79Expected goals
1.01Tristan Suarez xG
0.78San Martin Tucuman xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.0 – 0.8 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Martin Tucuman 31%.
How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 1–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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