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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Almirante Brown v Ferro Carril Oeste: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
Almirante Brown 37%Draw 28%Ferro Carril Oeste 35% Expected goals 0.89 – 0.86
54%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlmirante Brown to win ✗37% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44

Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Almirante Brown welcome Ferro Carril Oeste to Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 13 September (19:30 WAT). In the table, Almirante Brown are 6th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd (among the top four) with 66. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Almirante Brown, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Central Norte, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Ferro Carril Oeste, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico Mitre, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended Ferro Carril Oeste 0–1 Almirante Brown.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almirante Brown 0.9 xG, Ferro Carril Oeste 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Almirante Brown 37%, draw 28%, Ferro Carril Oeste 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almirante Brown 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almirante Brown37%fair 2.70 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.50
Ferro Carril Oeste35%fair 2.85 · @3.00
1.75Expected goals
0.89Almirante Brown xG
0.86Ferro Carril Oeste xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Almirante Brown 0.9 – 0.9 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmirante Brown to win ✗37%2.702.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.44
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.50
Draw no betAlmirante Brown (draw no bet)51%1.94–
Asian handicapFerro Carril Oeste +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreAlmirante Brown to score first ✗42%2.37–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.44–

Recent results

Almirante Brown – last 6

DWWLWW
6 Sep@ Central Norte0–0D
30 Augvs Deportivo Madryn1–0W
22 Aug@ Defensores De Belgrano2–0W
16 Aug@ Tristan Suarez1–3L
8 Augvs Ciudad de Bolívar2–0W
2 Augvs Racing Cordoba2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ferro Carril Oeste – last 6

DDWWWL
5 Sepvs Atletico Mitre0–0D
30 Aug@ CA Estudiantes2–2D
25 Augvs All Boys1–0W
15 Augvs Atlanta3–1W
9 Aug@ Los Andes2–1W
1 Augvs Godoy Cruz1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Apr 2026Ferro Carril Oeste v Almirante Brown0–1
Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ferro Carril Oeste 35%.

How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.