Value bet: Deportivo Madryn to win @ 3.80 – our chance 36% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDefensores De Belgrano to win ✓38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Monday 14 September: Defensores De Belgrano v Deportivo Madryn in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Juan Pasquale. In the table, Defensores De Belgrano are 15th, lower half, on 39 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Madryn are 4th (among the top four) with 60. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Defensores De Belgrano, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Los Andes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Deportivo Madryn, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ciudad de Bolívar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportivo Madryn, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Defensores De Belgrano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensores De Belgrano 1.0 xG, Deportivo Madryn 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores De Belgrano 38%, draw 26%, Deportivo Madryn 36%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Madryn to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 Deportivo Madryn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensores De Belgrano38%fair 2.64 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.75
Deportivo Madryn36%fair 2.77 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.02Defensores De Belgrano xG
0.98Deportivo Madryn xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Defensores De Belgrano 1.0 – 1.0 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores De Belgrano to win✓
38%
2.64
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.60
Draw no bet
Defensores De Belgrano (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Madryn +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Defensores De Belgrano to score first✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.27
–
Recent results
Defensores De Belgrano – last 6
DWLLDL
9 Sep
vs Los Andes
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Racing Cordoba
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Ciudad de Bolívar
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Almirante Brown
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Atletico Mitre
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Madryn – last 6
WLWWDW
6 Sep
vs Ciudad de Bolívar
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Almirante Brown
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Godoy Cruz
2–0
W
21 Aug
vs Atletico Mitre
4–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Martin Tucuman
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores De Belgrano and Deportivo Madryn.
What is the prediction for Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers Defensores De Belgrano have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Madryn 36%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?
Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
