Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✗37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.54
Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico DE Rafaela welcome San Martin Tucuman to Estadio Nuevo Monumental for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 19 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; San Martin Tucuman are 10th (lower half) with 47. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gimnasia Jujuy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Agropecuario, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended San Martin Tucuman 2–1 Atletico DE Rafaela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico DE Rafaela 0.9 xG, San Martin Tucuman 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico DE Rafaela 37%, draw 27%, San Martin Tucuman 37%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: San Martin Tucuman to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 San Martin Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico DE Rafaela37%fair 2.73 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.62
San Martin Tucuman37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
1.74Expected goals
0.87Atletico DE Rafaela xG
0.87San Martin Tucuman xG
47%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 0.9 – 0.9 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Martin Tucuman 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman?
Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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