Value bet: Quilmes to win @ 3.00 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQuilmes to win ✗41% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.76
Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Chacarita Juniors v Quilmes in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors. In the table, Chacarita Juniors are 14th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Quilmes are 13th (lower half) with 45. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chacarita Juniors, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Midland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Quilmes, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Martin S.J., at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Quilmes, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Chacarita Juniors.
Head to head
When they last met (5 May 2026) it ended Quilmes 0–0 Chacarita Juniors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chacarita Juniors 0.8 xG, Quilmes 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chacarita Juniors 32%, draw 27%, Quilmes 41%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Quilmes to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chacarita Juniors 1–1 Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chacarita Juniors32%fair 3.10 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.62
Quilmes41%fair 2.43 · @3.00
1.76Expected goals
0.80Chacarita Juniors xG
0.96Quilmes xG
50%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Chacarita Juniors 0.8 – 1.0 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
On our numbers Chacarita Juniors have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Quilmes 41%.
How many goals will there be in Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
Our predicted score is Chacarita Juniors 1–1 Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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