Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Jujuy to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.99
Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 28 September the Primera Nacional brings Gimnasia Jujuy against San Martin Tucuman at Estadio 23 de Agosto. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Jujuy are 4th, among the top four, on 58 points after 36 matches; San Martin Tucuman are 10th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Gimnasia Jujuy, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Maipu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Atletico DE Rafaela, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gimnasia Jujuy, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for San Martin Tucuman.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended San Martin Tucuman 2–0 Gimnasia Jujuy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Jujuy 1.4 xG, San Martin Tucuman 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Jujuy 46%, draw 24%, San Martin Tucuman 30%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: San Martin Tucuman to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Jujuy 1–0 San Martin Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Jujuy46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
San Martin Tucuman30%fair 3.33 · @3.80
2.38Expected goals
1.35Gimnasia Jujuy xG
1.03San Martin Tucuman xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Jujuy 1.4 – 1.0 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Gimnasia Jujuy have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Martin Tucuman 30%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Jujuy 1–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 23 de Agosto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
