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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Quilmes v Club Atlético Güemes: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes

Quilmes

LWLLL
2–0
FT
Quilmes 69%Draw 21%Club Atlético Güemes 10% Expected goals 1.80 – 0.51
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultQuilmes to win ✓69% · @1.44
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.60

Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Quilmes welcome Club Atlético Güemes to Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 26 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Club Atlético Güemes are 18th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Quilmes, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Chacarita Juniors, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Club Atlético Güemes, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Midland, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Quilmes, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Club Atlético Güemes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.8 xG, Club Atlético Güemes 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 69%, draw 21%, Club Atlético Güemes 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quilmes69%fair 1.46 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.80
Club Atlético Güemes10%fair 10.13 · @8.50
2.31Expected goals
1.80Quilmes xG
0.51Club Atlético Güemes xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Quilmes 1.8 – 0.5 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuilmes to win ✓69%1.461.44
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✓90%1.111.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.57
Draw no betQuilmes (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapQuilmes -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.08
First team to scoreQuilmes to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultQuilmes ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quilmes / FT Quilmes ✓44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.60–

Recent results

Quilmes – last 6

LWLLLW
20 Sep@ Chacarita Juniors0–3L
12 Sepvs San Martin S.J.1–0W
7 Sep@ Nueva Chicago0–1L
30 Augvs Temperley0–1L
23 Aug@ Deportivo Maipu0–1L
15 Augvs San Telmo3–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Club Atlético Güemes – last 6

LLLDDD
20 Sepvs Midland0–2L
12 Sep@ Atlanta0–2L
6 Sepvs Gimnasia Y Tiro1–3L
30 Aug@ San Martin Tucuman1–1D
24 Augvs Atletico DE Rafaela0–0D
19 Aug@ Chacarita Juniors0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Club Atlético Güemes.

Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?

On our numbers Quilmes have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Club Atlético Güemes 10%.

How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?

Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?

Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.