Value bet: Deportivo Madryn to win @ 4.00 – our chance 31% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFerro Carril Oeste to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.44
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 2 October the Primera Nacional brings Ferro Carril Oeste against Deportivo Madryn at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd, among the top four, on 66 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Madryn are 4th (among the top four) with 60.
Current form
Ferro Carril Oeste, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensores De Belgrano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Madryn, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Central Norte, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Deportivo Madryn 0–1 Ferro Carril Oeste.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferro Carril Oeste 1.2 xG, Deportivo Madryn 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro Carril Oeste 45%, draw 25%, Deportivo Madryn 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Madryn to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–1 Deportivo Madryn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferro Carril Oeste45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Deportivo Madryn31%fair 3.27 · @4.00
2.15Expected goals
1.21Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.94Deportivo Madryn xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.2 – 0.9 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Madryn 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–1 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
