Value bet: Deportivo Maipu to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNueva Chicago to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nueva Chicago welcome Deportivo Maipu to Estadio Nueva Chicago for a Primera Nacional fixture on Monday 5 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Nueva Chicago are 17th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Maipu are 6th (upper half) with 52. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nueva Chicago, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Almagro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Deportivo Maipu, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Temperley, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Nueva Chicago.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nueva Chicago 1.1 xG, Deportivo Maipu 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nueva Chicago 42%, draw 25%, Deportivo Maipu 33%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Maipu to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nueva Chicago 1–0 Deportivo Maipu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nueva Chicago42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Deportivo Maipu33%fair 2.99 · @3.60
1.95Expected goals
1.05Nueva Chicago xG
0.90Deportivo Maipu xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 1.1 – 0.9 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Maipu 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 1–0 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu?
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
