Value bet: San Martin S.J. to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Martin S.J. to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nueva Chicago welcome San Martin S.J. to Estadio Nueva Chicago for a Primera Nacional fixture on Monday 26 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Nueva Chicago are 17th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; San Martin S.J. are 9th (upper half) with 51. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nueva Chicago, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gimnasia Jujuy, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
San Martin S.J., last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Temperley, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nueva Chicago 0.9 xG, San Martin S.J. 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nueva Chicago 37%, draw 26%, San Martin S.J. 37%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: San Martin S.J. to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nueva Chicago 0–0 San Martin S.J.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nueva Chicago37%fair 2.74 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.70
San Martin S.J.37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
1.87Expected goals
0.93Nueva Chicago xG
0.94San Martin S.J. xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 0.9 – 0.9 San Martin S.J. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin S.J. to win✗
37%
2.68
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.57
Draw no bet
San Martin S.J. (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Nueva Chicago +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
San Martin S.J. to score first
43%
2.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.89
–
Recent results
Nueva Chicago – last 6
LLLWDL
17 Oct
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Temperley
1–2
L
5 Oct
vs Deportivo Maipu
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Almagro
1–0
W
21 Sep
vs Patronato
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Colegiales
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
San Martin S.J. – last 6
DDLLWD
18 Oct
vs Temperley
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Deportivo Maipu
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Almagro
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Patronato
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Colegiales
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nueva Chicago and San Martin S.J..
What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Martin S.J. 37%.
How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 0–0 San Martin S.J., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
