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Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Deportivo Moron 65%Draw 24%Ciudad de Bolívar 11% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.50
65%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo Moron to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Moron welcome Ciudad de Bolívar to Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 31 October (19:30 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Moron are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th (upper half) with 51.

Current form

Deportivo Moron, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Almirante Brown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Ciudad de Bolívar, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Colon Santa Fe, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ciudad de Bolívar, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Moron.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Ciudad de Bolívar 1–2 Deportivo Moron.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Moron 1.6 xG, Ciudad de Bolívar 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Moron 65%, draw 24%, Ciudad de Bolívar 11%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Moron or draw (89%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Moron to win (65%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Moron65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Ciudad de Bolívar11%fair 9.09 · @5.00
2.13Expected goals
1.63Deportivo Moron xG
0.50Ciudad de Bolívar xG
45%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–016%
0–012%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.6 – 0.5 Ciudad de Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Moron to win ✓65%1.541.73 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✓89%1.121.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.821.55
Draw no betDeportivo Moron (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapDeportivo Moron -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreDeportivo Moron to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron ✓40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.17–

Recent results

Deportivo Moron – last 6

LLLWLL
25 Oct@ Almirante Brown0–1L
18 Octvs Atletico Mitre0–2L
11 Oct@ CA Estudiantes0–2L
3 Octvs All Boys2–1W
27 Sep@ Los Andes1–2L
20 Sepvs Godoy Cruz1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ciudad de Bolívar – last 6

LWWWWL
25 Octvs Colon Santa Fe0–2L
17 Oct@ San Miguel2–1W
11 Octvs San Telmo1–0W
3 Oct@ Acassuso1–0W
26 Sepvs Chaco For Ever2–1W
19 Sep@ Ferro Carril Oeste0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Ciudad de Bolívar v Deportivo Moron1–2
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ciudad de Bolívar 11%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.