Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultAchuapa to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.30
Achuapa vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Achuapa welcome Guastatoya to Estadio Winston Pineda for a Liga Nacional fixture on Tuesday 17 February (22:00 WAT). In the table, Achuapa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Achuapa 1.2 xG, Guastatoya 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Achuapa 40%, draw 29%, Guastatoya 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Achuapa 1–1 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Achuapa40%fair 2.52 · @2.38
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.90
Guastatoya31%fair 3.18 · @3.00
2.27Expected goals
1.23Achuapa xG
1.04Guastatoya xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Achuapa 1.2 – 1.0 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Achuapa
Guastatoya
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-22%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.18
0.97
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Achuapa to win✓
40%
2.52
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
Achuapa (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Guastatoya +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Achuapa to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Achuapa / FT Achuapa✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.30
–
Recent results
Achuapa – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Municipal
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guastatoya – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Malacateco
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Achuapa and Guastatoya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Achuapa vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Achuapa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Guastatoya 31%.
How many goals will there be in Achuapa vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Achuapa vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Achuapa 1–1 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Achuapa vs Guastatoya?
Achuapa vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Winston Pineda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
