Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Picks by market
ResultMarquense to win ✓40% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.71
Marquense vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Friday 20 February: Marquense v Mixco in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. In the table, Marquense are 8th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marquense 1.3 xG, Mixco 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marquense 40%, draw 28%, Mixco 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marquense 1–1 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marquense40%fair 2.47 · @2.37
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.87
Mixco32%fair 3.13 · @2.80
2.36Expected goals
1.32Marquense xG
1.04Mixco xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.3 – 1.0 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marquense
Mixco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-23%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.01
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marquense to win✓
40%
2.47
2.37
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.05
Draw no bet
Marquense (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Mixco +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.47
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Marquense to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marquense / FT Marquense✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Marquense – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Xelajú
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mixco
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marquense and Mixco.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Marquense vs Mixco?
On our numbers Marquense have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mixco 32%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–1 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Mixco?
Marquense vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
