Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultXelajú to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.32
Xelajú vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Xelajú welcome Mixco to Estadio Mario Camposeco for a Liga Nacional fixture on Monday 23 February (03:00 WAT). In the table, Xelajú are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 1.9 xG, Mixco 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 62%, draw 22%, Mixco 16%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 2–0 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xelajú62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Mixco16%fair 6.29 · @5.00
2.70Expected goals
1.91Xelajú xG
0.79Mixco xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Xelajú 1.9 – 0.8 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Xelajú
Mixco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+22%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+13%
Our expected goals here
2.30
0.87
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xelajú to win✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Double chance
Xelajú or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Xelajú (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Xelajú -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Xelajú to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Xelajú ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xelajú / FT Xelajú✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Xelajú – last 2
LW
19 Feb
@ Malacateco
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Marquense
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mixco – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Marquense
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Mixco.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Xelajú vs Mixco?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mixco 16%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 2–0 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Mixco?
Xelajú vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
