Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultXelajú to win ✓70% · @1.35
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Xelajú vs Mictlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mictlán travel to face Xelajú on Monday 2 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Mario Camposeco the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Xelajú are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 22 matches; Mictlán are 9th (lower half) with 27. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Xelajú, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Achuapa, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Mictlán, last 4: DWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mixco, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Xelajú, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Mictlán.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 2.1 xG, Mictlán 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 70%, draw 19%, Mictlán 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 2–0 Mictlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xelajú70%fair 1.42 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.10
Mictlán10%fair 9.56 · @8.40
2.74Expected goals
2.09Xelajú xG
0.65Mictlán xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–06%
From our goals model: Xelajú 2.1 – 0.7 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Xelajú
Mictlán
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+22%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.51
0.77
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xelajú to win✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Double chance
Xelajú or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Xelajú (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Xelajú -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Xelajú to score first✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Xelajú ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xelajú / FT Xelajú✗
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Xelajú – last 4
DWLW
25 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Malacateco
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Marquense
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mictlán – last 4
DWLD
26 Feb
@ Mixco
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Marquense
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Mictlán.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Xelajú vs Mictlán?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mictlán 10%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Mictlán?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Mictlán?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 2–0 Mictlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Mictlán?
Xelajú vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
