Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal to win ✗36% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.43
Mixco vs Municipal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 4 March the Liga Nacional brings Mixco against Municipal. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Mixco are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 22 matches; Municipal are 2nd (among the top four) with 38. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mixco, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aurora, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Municipal, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Marquense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.5 for Mixco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 1.1 xG, Municipal 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 35%, draw 29%, Municipal 36%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 1–1 Municipal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixco35%fair 2.83 · @2.65
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.88
Municipal36%fair 2.77 · @2.65
2.26Expected goals
1.15Mixco xG
1.12Municipal xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.1 – 1.1 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mixco
Municipal
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+16%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-38%
Our expected goals here
1.19
1.10
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win✗
36%
2.77
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Municipal (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Municipal +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Mixco to score first✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mixco / FT Mixco✓
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.43
–
Recent results
Mixco – last 4
DDLL
1 Mar
@ Aurora
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Mictlán
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Xelajú
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Marquense
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Municipal – last 5
WLWDD
1 Mar
vs Marquense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixco and Municipal.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Mixco vs Municipal?
On our numbers Mixco have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Municipal 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Municipal?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Municipal?
Our predicted score is Mixco 1–1 Municipal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Municipal?
Mixco vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
