Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMictlán to win ✓54% · @1.80
Double chanceMictlán or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Mictlán vs Aurora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aurora travel to face Mictlán on Wednesday 11 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio La Asuncion the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Mictlán are 9th, lower half, on 27 points after 22 matches; Aurora are 11th (in the drop zone) with 20.
Current form
Mictlán, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Xelajú, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Aurora, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Xelajú, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Aurora, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mictlán.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mictlán 1.6 xG, Aurora 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mictlán 54%, draw 25%, Aurora 20%.
Lower-risk option: Mictlán or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mictlán 1–1 Aurora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mictlán54%fair 1.84 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.35
Aurora20%fair 4.90 · @4.00
2.64Expected goals
1.65Mictlán xG
1.00Aurora xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Mictlán 1.6 – 1.0 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mictlán
Aurora
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+3%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.23
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mictlán to win✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Double chance
Mictlán or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Mictlán (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Aurora +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Mictlán to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mictlán / FT Mictlán✓
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Mictlán – last 5
LDWLD
2 Mar
@ Xelajú
0–2
L
26 Feb
@ Mixco
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Marquense
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Aurora – last 6
DDDWLW
8 Mar
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Mixco
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Marquense
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mictlán and Aurora.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Mictlán vs Aurora?
On our numbers Mictlán have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aurora 20%.
How many goals will there be in Mictlán vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mictlán vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Mictlán 1–1 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mictlán vs Aurora?
Mictlán vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Asuncion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
