Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Municipal vs Aurora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 16 March: Municipal v Aurora in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Aurora are 11th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Municipal, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mixco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Aurora, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mictlán, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 1.9 xG, Aurora 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 69%, draw 20%, Aurora 11%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Municipal to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Aurora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal69%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.75
Aurora11%fair 8.93 · @11.00
2.46Expected goals
1.87Municipal xG
0.60Aurora xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Municipal 1.9 – 0.6 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Municipal
Aurora
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+6%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.87
0.61
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win✓
69%
1.46
1.25
Double chance
Municipal or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.55
Draw no bet
Municipal (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Municipal -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Municipal to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Municipal ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal / FT Municipal✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.28
–
Recent results
Municipal – last 6
LWLWDD
4 Mar
@ Mixco
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Marquense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Aurora – last 6
LDDDWL
11 Mar
@ Mictlán
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Mixco
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Marquense
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal and Aurora.
Our pick is Municipal to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Municipal vs Aurora?
On our numbers Municipal have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aurora 11%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Aurora?
Municipal vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
