Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.01
Mixco vs Achuapa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mixco welcome Achuapa for a Liga Nacional fixture on Wednesday 18 March (22:00 WAT). In the table, Mixco are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 22 matches; Achuapa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mixco, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Malacateco, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Achuapa, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 1.8 xG, Achuapa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 65%, draw 21%, Achuapa 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 1–0 Achuapa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixco65%fair 1.53 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.90
Achuapa13%fair 7.55 · @8.00
2.56Expected goals
1.85Mixco xG
0.71Achuapa xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.8 – 0.7 Achuapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mixco
Achuapa
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+16%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.99
0.81
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mixco to win✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Double chance
Mixco or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.53
Draw no bet
Mixco (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Mixco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Mixco to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Mixco ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mixco / FT Mixco✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.01
–
Recent results
Mixco – last 6
WWDDLL
15 Mar
@ Malacateco
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Municipal
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Aurora
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Mictlán
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Xelajú
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Marquense
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Achuapa – last 6
LLDDWD
9 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
0–4
L
5 Mar
@ Antigua GFC
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Malacateco
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Guastatoya
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Municipal
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixco and Achuapa.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mixco vs Achuapa?
On our numbers Mixco have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Achuapa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Achuapa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Achuapa?
Our predicted score is Mixco 1–0 Achuapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Achuapa?
Mixco vs Achuapa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
