Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultXelajú to win ✓41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Xelajú vs Municipal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Municipal travel to face Xelajú on Friday 20 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Mario Camposeco the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Xelajú are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 22 matches; Municipal are 2nd (among the top four) with 38. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Xelajú, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Antigua GFC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Municipal, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Aurora, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 1.3 xG, Municipal 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 41%, draw 28%, Municipal 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 1–1 Municipal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xelajú41%fair 2.44 · @2.40
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
Municipal31%fair 3.20 · @2.80
2.21Expected goals
1.26Xelajú xG
0.95Municipal xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Xelajú 1.3 – 0.9 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Xelajú
Municipal
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+22%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-38%
Our expected goals here
1.26
0.79
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xelajú to win✓
41%
2.44
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Draw no bet
Xelajú (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Municipal +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Xelajú to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xelajú / FT Xelajú✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.07
–
Recent results
Xelajú – last 6
DDDWDW
15 Mar
vs Antigua GFC
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Aurora
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Cobán Imperial
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Mictlán
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Municipal – last 6
WLWLWD
16 Mar
vs Aurora
4–1
W
4 Mar
@ Mixco
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Marquense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Municipal.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Xelajú vs Municipal?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Municipal 31%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Municipal?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Municipal?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–1 Municipal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Municipal?
Xelajú vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
