Antigua GFC vs Marquense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Tuesday 24 March: Antigua GFC v Marquense in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Pensativo. In the table, Antigua GFC are 5th, upper half, on 34 points after 22 matches; Marquense are 8th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Antigua GFC, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Comunicaciones, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Marquense, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cobán Imperial, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Antigua GFC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Marquense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antigua GFC 1.9 xG, Marquense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antigua GFC 65%, draw 21%, Marquense 14%.
Lower-risk option: Antigua GFC or draw (86%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antigua GFC 2–0 Marquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antigua GFC65%fair 1.54 · @1.49
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.90
Marquense14%fair 7.40 · @5.25
2.60Expected goals
1.92Antigua GFC xG
0.68Marquense xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 1.9 – 0.7 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Antigua GFC
Marquense
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+26%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.99
0.62
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antigua GFC to win✓
65%
1.54
1.49
Double chance
Antigua GFC or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Antigua GFC (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Antigua GFC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Antigua GFC to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Antigua GFC ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antigua GFC / FT Antigua GFC✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Antigua GFC – last 6
WDDWDW
20 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Xelajú
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs Cobán Imperial
2–2
D
5 Mar
vs Achuapa
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Malacateco
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Guastatoya
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Marquense – last 6
WWDLDL
19 Mar
vs Cobán Imperial
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Malacateco
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Guastatoya
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Municipal
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Aurora
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mictlán
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antigua GFC and Marquense.
What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Marquense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Marquense?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Marquense 14%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 2–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Antigua GFC vs Marquense?
Antigua GFC vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.