Achuapa vs Mictlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 March the Liga Nacional brings Achuapa against Mictlán at Estadio Winston Pineda. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Achuapa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 22 matches; Mictlán are 9th (lower half) with 27.
Current form
Achuapa, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mixco, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Mictlán, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Malacateco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mictlán, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Achuapa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Achuapa 1.5 xG, Mictlán 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Achuapa 53%, draw 25%, Mictlán 22%.
Lower-risk option: Achuapa or draw (78%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Achuapa 1–0 Mictlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Achuapa53%fair 1.88 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.35
Mictlán22%fair 4.58 · @4.20
2.40Expected goals
1.51Achuapa xG
0.88Mictlán xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Achuapa 1.5 – 0.9 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Achuapa
Mictlán
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-22%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.60
0.97
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Achuapa to win✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Double chance
Achuapa or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Draw no bet
Achuapa (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Mictlán +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Achuapa to score first✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Achuapa / FT Achuapa✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Achuapa – last 6
LLLDDW
18 Mar
@ Mixco
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
0–4
L
5 Mar
@ Antigua GFC
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Malacateco
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Guastatoya
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mictlán – last 6
WLWLDW
19 Mar
vs Malacateco
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Guastatoya
1–3
L
11 Mar
vs Aurora
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Xelajú
0–2
L
26 Feb
@ Mixco
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Marquense
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Achuapa and Mictlán.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Achuapa vs Mictlán?
On our numbers Achuapa have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mictlán 22%.
How many goals will there be in Achuapa vs Mictlán?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Achuapa vs Mictlán?
Our predicted score is Achuapa 1–0 Mictlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Achuapa vs Mictlán?
Achuapa vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Winston Pineda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
