Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuastatoya to win ✗36% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.04
Guastatoya vs Municipal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Municipal travel to face Guastatoya on Sunday 22 March in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Guastatoya are 7th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Municipal are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Guastatoya, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aurora, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Municipal, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Xelajú, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guastatoya 1.1 xG, Municipal 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guastatoya 36%, draw 29%, Municipal 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guastatoya36%fair 2.79 · @2.62
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @3.00
Municipal35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
2.21Expected goals
1.15Guastatoya xG
1.06Municipal xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.1 – 1.1 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guastatoya
Municipal
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+2%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-38%
Our expected goals here
1.05
0.89
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guastatoya to win✗
36%
2.79
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.93
Draw no bet
Guastatoya (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Municipal +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Guastatoya to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guastatoya / FT Guastatoya✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.04
–
Recent results
Guastatoya – last 6
WWDLWL
19 Mar
@ Aurora
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Mictlán
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Marquense
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Municipal – last 6
LWLWLW
20 Mar
@ Xelajú
1–3
L
16 Mar
vs Aurora
4–1
W
4 Mar
@ Mixco
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Marquense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guastatoya and Municipal.
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Municipal?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Municipal 35%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Municipal?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Guastatoya vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
