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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Antigua GFC v Mictlán: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Pensativo
8–2
FT
Antigua GFC 67%Draw 20%Mictlán 13% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.75
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47

Antigua GFC vs Mictlán: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Antigua GFC welcome Mictlán to Estadio Pensativo for a Liga Nacional fixture on Thursday 2 April (01:00 WAT). In the table, Antigua GFC are 5th, upper half, on 34 points after 22 matches; Mictlán are 9th (lower half) with 27.

Current form

Antigua GFC, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Marquense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Mictlán, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Achuapa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Mictlán 0–0 Antigua GFC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Antigua GFC 2.1 xG, Mictlán 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Antigua GFC 67%, draw 20%, Mictlán 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antigua GFC 2–0 Mictlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Antigua GFC67%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.00
Mictlán13%fair 7.97 · @7.00
2.87Expected goals
2.12Antigua GFC xG
0.75Mictlán xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Antigua GFC 2.1 – 0.7 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Antigua GFCMictlán
Attack vs Liga Nacional average+26%+3%
Goals conceded vs average-12%+23%
Our expected goals here2.580.83

Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAntigua GFC to win ✓67%1.481.40
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓87%1.141.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.842.00 ▲
Draw no betAntigua GFC (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapAntigua GFC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
First team to scoreAntigua GFC to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultAntigua GFC ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Antigua GFC / FT Antigua GFC ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.47–

Recent results

Antigua GFC – last 6

WWDDWD
24 Marvs Marquense1–0W
20 Mar@ Comunicaciones1–0W
15 Mar@ Xelajú1–1D
9 Marvs Cobán Imperial2–2D
5 Marvs Achuapa1–0W
1 Mar@ Malacateco2–2D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mictlán – last 6

WWLWLD
21 Mar@ Achuapa2–0W
19 Marvs Malacateco1–0W
15 Mar@ Guastatoya1–3L
11 Marvs Aurora2–0W
2 Mar@ Xelajú0–2L
26 Feb@ Mixco2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Mictlán v Antigua GFC0–0
Antigua GFC vs Mictlán head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Mictlán?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Antigua GFC vs Mictlán?

On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mictlán 13%.

How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Mictlán?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Mictlán?

Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 2–0 Mictlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Antigua GFC vs Mictlán?

Antigua GFC vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.