On Saturday 11 April the Liga Nacional brings Mixco against Xelajú. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Mixco are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 22 matches; Xelajú are 1st (leading the league) with 39. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mixco, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Marquense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Xelajú, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Malacateco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Xelajú 2–1 Mixco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 1.5 xG, Xelajú 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 52%, draw 25%, Xelajú 24%.
Lower-risk option: Mixco or draw (76%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 1–1 Xelajú. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixco52%fair 1.93 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.25
Xelajú24%fair 4.25 · @3.90
2.58Expected goals
1.53Mixco xG
1.05Xelajú xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.5 – 1.0 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mixco
Xelajú
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+16%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.27
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mixco vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Mixco have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Xelajú 24%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Xelajú?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Xelajú?
Our predicted score is Mixco 1–1 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Xelajú?
Mixco vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
