Marquense vs Mictlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:00 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Marquense v Mictlán in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. In the table, Marquense are 8th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Mictlán are 9th (lower half) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Marquense, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mixco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mictlán, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–8 defeat to Antigua GFC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Marquense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Mictlán.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Mictlán 2–1 Marquense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marquense 1.6 xG, Mictlán 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marquense 56%, draw 25%, Mictlán 19%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marquense 1–0 Mictlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marquense56%fair 1.78 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
Mictlán19%fair 5.38 · @5.10
2.42Expected goals
1.58Marquense xG
0.84Mictlán xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.6 – 0.8 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marquense
Mictlán
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-23%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.58
0.90
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Marquense vs Mictlán?
On our numbers Marquense have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mictlán 19%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Mictlán?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Mictlán?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Mictlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Mictlán?
Marquense vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
