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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guastatoya v Antigua GFC: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala
3–0
FT
Guastatoya 42%Draw 26%Antigua GFC 32% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.12
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuastatoya to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18

Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guastatoya welcome Antigua GFC for a Liga Nacional fixture on Thursday 16 April (01:00 WAT). In the table, Guastatoya are 7th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Antigua GFC are 5th (upper half) with 34. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guastatoya, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Achuapa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Antigua GFC, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Municipal, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Antigua GFC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Guastatoya.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Antigua GFC 2–0 Guastatoya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guastatoya 1.4 xG, Antigua GFC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guastatoya 42%, draw 26%, Antigua GFC 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guastatoya 1–1 Antigua GFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guastatoya42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
Antigua GFC32%fair 3.13 · @3.10
2.55Expected goals
1.43Guastatoya xG
1.12Antigua GFC xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.4 – 1.1 Antigua GFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

GuastatoyaAntigua GFC
Attack vs Liga Nacional average+2%+26%
Goals conceded vs average-9%-12%
Our expected goals here1.511.05

Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuastatoya to win ✓42%2.382.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.80
Draw no betGuastatoya (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapAntigua GFC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreGuastatoya to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guastatoya / FT Guastatoya ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.18–

Recent results

Guastatoya – last 6

WLDDWW
7 Aprvs Achuapa3–1W
3 Apr@ Malacateco0–1L
29 Mar@ Xelajú1–1D
22 Marvs Municipal1–1D
19 Mar@ Aurora1–0W
15 Marvs Mictlán3–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Antigua GFC – last 6

WWWWDD
12 Aprvs Municipal1–0W
2 Aprvs Mictlán8–2W
24 Marvs Marquense1–0W
20 Mar@ Comunicaciones1–0W
15 Mar@ Xelajú1–1D
9 Marvs Cobán Imperial2–2D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Feb 2026Antigua GFC v Guastatoya2–0
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?

On our numbers Guastatoya have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Antigua GFC 32%.

How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?

Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–1 Antigua GFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?

Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.