Mictlán vs Xelajú: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 20 April the Liga Nacional brings Mictlán against Xelajú at Estadio La Asuncion. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Mictlán are 9th, lower half, on 27 points after 22 matches; Xelajú are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mictlán, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mixco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Xelajú, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Achuapa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Xelajú, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Mictlán.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended Xelajú 2–0 Mictlán.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mictlán 1.4 xG, Xelajú 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mictlán 48%, draw 26%, Xelajú 26%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mictlán 1–1 Xelajú. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mictlán48%fair 2.07 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.20
Xelajú26%fair 3.83 · @3.65
2.54Expected goals
1.41Mictlán xG
1.13Xelajú xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Mictlán 1.4 – 1.1 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mictlán
Xelajú
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+3%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.40
1.38
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mictlán vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Mictlán have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Xelajú 26%.
How many goals will there be in Mictlán vs Xelajú?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mictlán vs Xelajú?
Our predicted score is Mictlán 1–1 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mictlán vs Xelajú?
Mictlán vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Asuncion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
