Sportivo Italiano 51%Draw 30%UAI Urquiza 19%Expected goals 1.31 – 0.65
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✗51% · @1.95
Double chanceSportivo Italiano or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43
Sportivo Italiano vs UAI Urquiza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportivo Italiano welcome UAI Urquiza to Republica de Italia Stadium for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Sunday 15 February (23:30 WAT). In the table, Sportivo Italiano are 3rd, among the top four, on 72 points after 42 matches; UAI Urquiza are 21st (in the drop zone) with 45. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Italiano 1.3 xG, UAI Urquiza 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Italiano 51%, draw 30%, UAI Urquiza 19%.
Lower-risk option: Sportivo Italiano or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Italiano 1–0 UAI Urquiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Italiano51%fair 1.95 · @1.95
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.80
UAI Urquiza19%fair 5.35 · @4.20
1.96Expected goals
1.31Sportivo Italiano xG
0.65UAI Urquiza xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 1.3 – 0.7 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sportivo Italiano
UAI Urquiza
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+14%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.29
0.61
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Italiano to win✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Double chance
Sportivo Italiano or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.53
Draw no bet
Sportivo Italiano (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
UAI Urquiza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Sportivo Italiano to score first✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Italiano / FT Sportivo Italiano✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.43
–
Recent results
Sportivo Italiano
No recent results on record.
UAI Urquiza
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Italiano and UAI Urquiza.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs UAI Urquiza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs UAI Urquiza?
On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 30% and UAI Urquiza 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs UAI Urquiza?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs UAI Urquiza?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 1–0 UAI Urquiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Italiano vs UAI Urquiza?
Sportivo Italiano vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
