Sportivo Italiano 52%Draw 27%Deportivo Laferrere 20%Expected goals 1.40 – 0.78
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✗52% · @1.91
Double chanceSportivo Italiano or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30
Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Laferrere: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 18 May the Primera B Metropolitana brings Sportivo Italiano against Deportivo Laferrere at Republica de Italia Stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Sportivo Italiano are 3rd, among the top four, on 72 points after 42 matches; Deportivo Laferrere are 10th (upper half) with 59. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sportivo Italiano, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores Unidos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Deportivo Laferrere, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with UAI Urquiza, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sportivo Italiano, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Laferrere.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Italiano 1.4 xG, Deportivo Laferrere 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Italiano 52%, draw 27%, Deportivo Laferrere 20%.
Lower-risk option: Sportivo Italiano or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Deportivo Laferrere. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Italiano52%fair 1.91 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.95
Deportivo Laferrere20%fair 4.94 · @4.10
2.17Expected goals
1.40Sportivo Italiano xG
0.78Deportivo Laferrere xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 1.4 – 0.8 Deportivo Laferrere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Laferrere
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+14%
+26%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.59
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Italiano to win✗
52%
1.91
1.91
Double chance
Sportivo Italiano or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.45
Draw no bet
Sportivo Italiano (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Laferrere +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sportivo Italiano to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Italiano / FT Sportivo Italiano✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.30
–
Recent results
Sportivo Italiano – last 6
LWWDWW
14 Apr
@ Defensores Unidos
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Dock Sud
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Deportivo Merlo
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Ituzaingó
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Villa San Carlos
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Liniers
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Laferrere – last 4
DLLD
15 Apr
vs UAI Urquiza
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Talleres Remedios
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Brown DE Adrogue
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Argentino Quilmes
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Italiano and Deportivo Laferrere.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Laferrere?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Laferrere?
On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Laferrere 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Laferrere?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Laferrere?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Deportivo Laferrere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Laferrere?
Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Laferrere (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
