Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.78
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Pilar welcome UAI Urquiza to Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 30 May (19:30 WAT). In the table, Real Pilar are 7th, upper half, on 66 points after 42 matches; UAI Urquiza are 21st (in the drop zone) with 45. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Pilar, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dock Sud, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
UAI Urquiza, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Real Pilar, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for UAI Urquiza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Pilar 1.1 xG, UAI Urquiza 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Pilar 45%, draw 30%, UAI Urquiza 25%.
Lower-risk option: Real Pilar or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Pilar or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Pilar 1–0 UAI Urquiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Pilar45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.90
UAI Urquiza25%fair 3.95 · @3.65
1.89Expected goals
1.14Real Pilar xG
0.75UAI Urquiza xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Real Pilar 1.1 – 0.7 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Pilar
UAI Urquiza
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-2%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.11
0.69
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Pilar to win✓
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Real Pilar or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.57
Draw no bet
Real Pilar (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
UAI Urquiza +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Real Pilar to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Pilar / FT Real Pilar✓
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.78
–
Recent results
Real Pilar – last 6
LDWLWL
26 May
@ Dock Sud
0–2
L
15 Apr
@ Brown DE Adrogue
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Argentino Quilmes
3–2
W
26 Mar
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Mar
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Deportivo Merlo
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UAI Urquiza – last 6
LDDDLD
26 May
@ Comunicaciones
0–3
L
22 May
@ Ituzaingó
1–1
D
9 May
@ Excursionistas
0–0
D
15 Apr
@ Deportivo Laferrere
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Brown DE Adrogue
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Defensores Unidos
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Pilar and UAI Urquiza.
What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
Our pick is Real Pilar or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
On our numbers Real Pilar have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 30% and UAI Urquiza 25%.
How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
Our predicted score is Real Pilar 1–0 UAI Urquiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.