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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Pilar v UAI Urquiza: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza
2–1
FT
Real Pilar 45%Draw 30%UAI Urquiza 25% Expected goals 1.14 – 0.75
75%
Betarazi pick

Real Pilar or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Pilar to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceReal Pilar or draw ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.78

Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Pilar welcome UAI Urquiza to Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 30 May (19:30 WAT). In the table, Real Pilar are 7th, upper half, on 66 points after 42 matches; UAI Urquiza are 21st (in the drop zone) with 45. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Real Pilar, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dock Sud, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

UAI Urquiza, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Real Pilar, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for UAI Urquiza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Pilar 1.1 xG, UAI Urquiza 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Pilar 45%, draw 30%, UAI Urquiza 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Pilar or draw (75%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Pilar or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Pilar 1–0 UAI Urquiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Pilar45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.90
UAI Urquiza25%fair 3.95 · @3.65
1.89Expected goals
1.14Real Pilar xG
0.75UAI Urquiza xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Real Pilar 1.1 – 0.7 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real PilarUAI Urquiza
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average-2%-16%
Goals conceded vs average-5%-3%
Our expected goals here1.110.69

Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Pilar to win ✓45%2.232.10
Double chanceReal Pilar or draw ✓75%1.341.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.901.57
Draw no betReal Pilar (draw no bet) ✓64%1.57–
Asian handicapUAI Urquiza +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.721.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.481.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreReal Pilar to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Pilar / FT Real Pilar ✓26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.78–

Recent results

Real Pilar – last 6

LDWLWL
26 May@ Dock Sud0–2L
15 Apr@ Brown DE Adrogue1–1D
29 Marvs Argentino Quilmes3–2W
26 Mar@ Banfield0–3L
16 Marvs Comunicaciones2–0W
5 Marvs Deportivo Merlo1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

UAI Urquiza – last 6

LDDDLD
26 May@ Comunicaciones0–3L
22 May@ Ituzaingó1–1D
9 May@ Excursionistas0–0D
15 Apr@ Deportivo Laferrere0–0D
10 Aprvs Brown DE Adrogue0–1L
15 Marvs Defensores Unidos2–2D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Pilar and UAI Urquiza.

Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?

Our pick is Real Pilar or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?

On our numbers Real Pilar have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 30% and UAI Urquiza 25%.

How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?

Our predicted score is Real Pilar 1–0 UAI Urquiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?

Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.