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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ituzaingó v Real Pilar: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Carlos Sacaan
2–0
FT
Ituzaingó 28%Draw 29%Real Pilar 44% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.26
72%
Betarazi pick

Real Pilar or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Pilar to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceReal Pilar or draw ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.90

Ituzaingó vs Real Pilar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Friday 5 June: Ituzaingó v Real Pilar in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio Carlos Sacaan. In the table, Ituzaingó are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 42 matches; Real Pilar are 7th (upper half) with 66. There are 49 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ituzaingó, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Argentino Quilmes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Real Pilar, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over UAI Urquiza, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Pilar, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Ituzaingó.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ituzaingó 0.9 xG, Real Pilar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ituzaingó 28%, draw 29%, Real Pilar 44%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Pilar or draw (72%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Pilar or draw (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituzaingó 0–1 Real Pilar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ituzaingó28%fair 3.59 · @3.30
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @3.00
Real Pilar44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
2.16Expected goals
0.90Ituzaingó xG
1.26Real Pilar xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Ituzaingó 0.9 – 1.3 Real Pilar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ItuzaingóReal Pilar
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average-25%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+47%-5%
Our expected goals here0.831.24

Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Pilar to win ✗44%2.292.20
Double chanceReal Pilar or draw ✗72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.981.60
Draw no betReal Pilar (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapItuzaingó +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreReal Pilar to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Pilar / FT Real Pilar ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%6.90–

Recent results

Ituzaingó – last 6

LLDLDL
1 Jun@ Argentino Quilmes0–2L
26 Mayvs Deportivo Laferrere0–2L
22 Mayvs UAI Urquiza1–1D
5 May@ Comunicaciones2–3L
14 Aprvs Arsenal Sarandi0–0D
3 Aprvs Argentino de Merlo0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Real Pilar – last 6

WLDWLW
30 Mayvs UAI Urquiza2–1W
26 May@ Dock Sud0–2L
15 Apr@ Brown DE Adrogue1–1D
29 Marvs Argentino Quilmes3–2W
26 Mar@ Banfield0–3L
16 Marvs Comunicaciones2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ituzaingó and Real Pilar.

Ituzaingó vs Real Pilar head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ituzaingó vs Real Pilar?

Our pick is Real Pilar or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Ituzaingó vs Real Pilar?

On our numbers Ituzaingó have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Real Pilar 44%.

How many goals will there be in Ituzaingó vs Real Pilar?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ituzaingó vs Real Pilar?

Our predicted score is Ituzaingó 0–1 Real Pilar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ituzaingó vs Real Pilar?

Ituzaingó vs Real Pilar (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.