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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UAI Urquiza v Sportivo Italiano: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Monumental de Villa Lynch
0–0
FT
UAI Urquiza 32%Draw 31%Sportivo Italiano 37% Expected goals 0.83 – 0.94
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✗37% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.23

UAI Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Italiano travel to face UAI Urquiza on Sunday 28 June in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Monumental de Villa Lynch the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, UAI Urquiza are 21st, in the drop zone, on 45 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

UAI Urquiza, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Martín Burzaco, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Sportivo Italiano, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Villa Dalmine, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Sportivo Italiano 0–0 UAI Urquiza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UAI Urquiza 0.8 xG, Sportivo Italiano 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UAI Urquiza 32%, draw 31%, Sportivo Italiano 37%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: UAI Urquiza 0–0 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UAI Urquiza32%fair 3.15 · @2.85
Draw31%fair 3.25 · @2.80
Sportivo Italiano37%fair 2.67 · @2.55
1.77Expected goals
0.83UAI Urquiza xG
0.94Sportivo Italiano xG
46%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%

From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 0.8 – 0.9 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

UAI UrquizaSportivo Italiano
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average-16%+14%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-15%
Our expected goals here0.830.95

Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Italiano to win ✗37%2.672.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69%1.441.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.45
Draw no betSportivo Italiano (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapUAI Urquiza +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗54%1.861.70
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.04–
First team to scoreSportivo Italiano to score first ✗44%2.27–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.23–

Recent results

UAI Urquiza – last 6

DDWLLD
20 Junvs San Martín Burzaco0–0D
13 Jun@ Villa San Carlos0–0D
8 Junvs Liniers2–1W
30 May@ Real Pilar1–2L
26 May@ Comunicaciones0–3L
22 May@ Ituzaingó1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

LLWLLD
20 Jun@ Villa Dalmine1–2L
13 Junvs Excursionistas0–1L
6 Jun@ Arsenal Sarandi3–1W
31 Mayvs Argentino de Merlo0–2L
27 Mayvs San Martín Burzaco1–2L
18 Mayvs Deportivo Laferrere1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Sportivo Italiano v UAI Urquiza0–0
UAI Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano?

On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sportivo Italiano 37%.

How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 0–0 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is UAI Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano?

UAI Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.