Excursionistas v Ituzaingó Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultExcursionistas to win ✓66% · @1.25

Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓84% · @1.04

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62

Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ituzaingó travel to face Excursionistas on Tuesday 8 September in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Excursionistas Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Excursionistas are 1st, leading the league, on 81 points after 42 matches; Ituzaingó are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 64 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Excursionistas, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Arsenal Sarandi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Ituzaingó, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dock Sud, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Excursionistas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Ituzaingó.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Excursionistas 1.6 xG, Ituzaingó 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Excursionistas 66%, draw 18%, Ituzaingó 16%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Excursionistas to win (66%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excursionistas 1–0 Ituzaingó. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Excursionistas66%fair 1.52 · @1.25

Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.50

Ituzaingó16%fair 6.13 · @11.00

2.21Expected goals

1.62Excursionistas xG

0.59Ituzaingó xG

49%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%

2–014%

0–011%

1–110%

2–18%

3–08%

From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.6 – 0.6 Ituzaingó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Excursionistas to win ✓	66%	1.52	1.25
Double chance	Excursionistas or draw ✓	84%	1.20	1.04
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.95	1.50
Draw no bet	Excursionistas (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Excursionistas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Excursionistas to score first ✗	65%	1.53	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas ✗	39%	2.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	18%	5.62	–

Excursionistas – last 6

LWWWLW

29 Aug	@ Arsenal Sarandi	0–3	L
26 Aug	vs Argentino de Merlo	2–0	W
22 Aug	@ Talleres Remedios	2–1	W
15 Aug	vs Deportivo Laferrere	5–3	W
8 Aug	@ Brown DE Adrogue	0–1	L
1 Aug	vs Deportivo Armenio	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Ituzaingó – last 6

LLDDLD

29 Aug	vs Dock Sud	0–2	L
25 Aug	@ Arsenal Sarandi	0–2	L
22 Aug	vs Deportivo Merlo	0–0	D
15 Aug	@ Argentino de Merlo	1–1	D
7 Aug	vs Deportivo Camioneros	0–1	L
1 Aug	@ Talleres Remedios	0–0	D

0.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Primera B Metropolitana table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?

Our pick is Excursionistas to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?

On our numbers Excursionistas have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ituzaingó 16%.

How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?

Our predicted score is Excursionistas 1–0 Ituzaingó, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó?

Excursionistas vs Ituzaingó (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Excursionistas v Ituzaingó: numbers & prediction

Excursionistas

Ituzaingó

Excursionistas to win