Villa Dalmine v UAI Urquiza Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVilla Dalmine to win ✗61% · @1.62

Double chanceVilla Dalmine or draw ✓85% · @1.11

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 3.95

Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

UAI Urquiza travel to face Villa Dalmine on Sunday 27 September in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Villa Dalmine are 6th, upper half, on 68 points after 42 matches; UAI Urquiza are 21st (in the drop zone) with 45. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Villa Dalmine, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ituzaingó, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

UAI Urquiza, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Excursionistas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Villa Dalmine, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for UAI Urquiza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villa Dalmine 1.2 xG, UAI Urquiza 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 80% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Dalmine 61%, draw 24%, UAI Urquiza 15%.
GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Villa Dalmine to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Dalmine 1–0 UAI Urquiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villa Dalmine61%fair 1.65 · @1.62

Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10

UAI Urquiza15%fair 6.57 · @5.80

1.53Expected goals

1.17Villa Dalmine xG

0.36UAI Urquiza xG

40%Both score

20%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–025%

0–022%

2–015%

1–19%

0–18%

3–06%

From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 1.2 – 0.4 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Villa Dalmine to win ✗	61%	1.65	1.62
Double chance	Villa Dalmine or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.11
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	60%	1.68	1.50
Draw no bet	Villa Dalmine (draw no bet)	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	UAI Urquiza +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	93%	1.07	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	98%	1.02	–
First team to score	Villa Dalmine to score first ✗	60%	1.67	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	55%	1.81	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Villa Dalmine / FT Villa Dalmine ✗	33%	3.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	25%	3.95	–

Villa Dalmine – last 6

WLLDDW

19 Sep	vs Ituzaingó	3–1	W
13 Sep	@ Excursionistas	0–3	L
5 Sep	vs Arsenal Sarandi	0–1	L
30 Aug	@ Argentino de Merlo	0–0	D
25 Aug	vs Talleres Remedios	0–0	D
21 Aug	@ Deportivo Laferrere	2–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

UAI Urquiza – last 6

LLWLLD

19 Sep	vs Excursionistas	1–2	L
12 Sep	@ Arsenal Sarandi	0–2	L
6 Sep	vs Argentino de Merlo	2–0	W
29 Aug	@ Talleres Remedios	0–1	L
25 Aug	vs Deportivo Laferrere	0–2	L
21 Aug	@ Brown DE Adrogue	1–1	D

0.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?

Our pick is Villa Dalmine to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?

On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UAI Urquiza 15%.

How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?

Our predicted score is Villa Dalmine 1–0 UAI Urquiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?

Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Villa Dalmine v UAI Urquiza: numbers & prediction