Real Pilar v Villa Dalmine Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultReal Pilar to win ✓38% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.44

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.57

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70

Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Real Pilar v Villa Dalmine in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza. In the table, Real Pilar are 7th, upper half, on 66 points after 42 matches; Villa Dalmine are 6th (upper half) with 68. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Pilar, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Excursionistas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Villa Dalmine, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with UAI Urquiza, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Real Pilar, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Villa Dalmine.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Pilar 0.9 xG, Villa Dalmine 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Real Pilar 38%, draw 26%, Villa Dalmine 35%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Villa Dalmine to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Pilar 0–0 Villa Dalmine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Pilar38%fair 2.62 · @2.50

Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.60

Villa Dalmine35%fair 2.82 · @3.00

1.85Expected goals

0.95Real Pilar xG

0.90Villa Dalmine xG

46%Both score

28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–016%

1–015%

0–114%

1–113%

2–07%

2–16%

From our goals model: Real Pilar 0.9 – 0.9 Villa Dalmine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Pilar to win ✓	38%	2.62	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.44 ▲
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	54%	1.87	1.57
Draw no bet	Real Pilar (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.93	–
Asian handicap	Villa Dalmine +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Real Pilar to score first ✓	43%	2.31	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	52%	1.92	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	24%	4.22	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	15%	6.70	–

Real Pilar – last 6

LWWLDW

26 Sep	@ Excursionistas	0–3	L
19 Sep	vs Arsenal Sarandi	2–1	W
12 Sep	@ Argentino de Merlo	1–0	W
5 Sep	vs Talleres Remedios	0–2	L
29 Aug	@ Deportivo Laferrere	1–1	D
25 Aug	vs Brown DE Adrogue	2–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Villa Dalmine – last 6

DWLLDD

27 Sep	vs UAI Urquiza	0–0	D
19 Sep	vs Ituzaingó	3–1	W
13 Sep	@ Excursionistas	0–3	L
5 Sep	vs Arsenal Sarandi	0–1	L
30 Aug	@ Argentino de Merlo	0–0	D
25 Aug	vs Talleres Remedios	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?

On our numbers Real Pilar have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villa Dalmine 35%.

How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?

Our predicted score is Real Pilar 0–0 Villa Dalmine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?

Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Real Pilar v Villa Dalmine: numbers & prediction