Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultUAI Urquiza to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceUAI Urquiza or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.28
UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 5 October the Primera B Metropolitana brings UAI Urquiza against Ituzaingó at Monumental de Villa Lynch. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, UAI Urquiza are 21st, in the drop zone, on 45 points after 42 matches; Ituzaingó are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UAI Urquiza, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villa Dalmine, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Ituzaingó, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Defensores Unidos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours UAI Urquiza, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Ituzaingó.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Ituzaingó 1–1 UAI Urquiza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UAI Urquiza 1.4 xG, Ituzaingó 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UAI Urquiza 64%, draw 24%, Ituzaingó 11%.
Lower-risk option: UAI Urquiza or draw (89%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was UAI Urquiza to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: UAI Urquiza 1–0 Ituzaingó. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UAI Urquiza64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
Ituzaingó11%fair 8.82 · @5.00
1.80Expected goals
1.41UAI Urquiza xG
0.39Ituzaingó xG
43%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–017%
2–016%
1–19%
3–08%
0–16%
From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 1.4 – 0.4 Ituzaingó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
Our pick is UAI Urquiza to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ituzaingó 11%.
How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 1–0 Ituzaingó, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
