Argentino de Merlo 31%Draw 24%Sportivo Italiano 45%Expected goals 0.91 – 1.19
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Primera B Metropolitana brings Argentino de Merlo against Sportivo Italiano at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Argentino de Merlo are 13th, lower half, on 50 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Argentino de Merlo, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Martín Burzaco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Sportivo Italiano, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Talleres Remedios, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sportivo Italiano, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Argentino de Merlo.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Sportivo Italiano 0–2 Argentino de Merlo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino de Merlo 0.9 xG, Sportivo Italiano 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino de Merlo 31%, draw 24%, Sportivo Italiano 45%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino de Merlo 0–1 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino de Merlo31%fair 3.25 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.88
Sportivo Italiano45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
2.10Expected goals
0.91Argentino de Merlo xG
1.19Sportivo Italiano xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 0.9 – 1.2 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sportivo Italiano 45%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our predicted score is Argentino de Merlo 0–1 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
