Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.75
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Primera B Metropolitana brings Excursionistas against Sportivo Italiano at Excursionistas Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Excursionistas are 1st, leading the league, on 81 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72.
Current form
Excursionistas, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martín Burzaco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sportivo Italiano, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arsenal Sarandi, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Sportivo Italiano 0–1 Excursionistas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excursionistas 1.9 xG, Sportivo Italiano 0.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excursionistas 72%, draw 18%, Sportivo Italiano 10%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excursionistas 1–0 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excursionistas72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.50
Sportivo Italiano10%fair 9.73 · @11.00
2.38Expected goals
1.88Excursionistas xG
0.50Sportivo Italiano xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.9 – 0.5 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sportivo Italiano 10%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our predicted score is Excursionistas 1–0 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.