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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Excursionistas v Sportivo Italiano: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Excursionistas Stadium
4–0
FT
Excursionistas 72%Draw 18%Sportivo Italiano 10% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.50
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultExcursionistas to win ✓72% · @1.25
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.75

Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the Primera B Metropolitana brings Excursionistas against Sportivo Italiano at Excursionistas Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Excursionistas are 1st, leading the league, on 81 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72.

Current form

Excursionistas, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martín Burzaco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Italiano, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arsenal Sarandi, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Sportivo Italiano 0–1 Excursionistas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Excursionistas 1.9 xG, Sportivo Italiano 0.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Excursionistas 72%, draw 18%, Sportivo Italiano 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excursionistas 1–0 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Excursionistas72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.50
Sportivo Italiano10%fair 9.73 · @11.00
2.38Expected goals
1.88Excursionistas xG
0.50Sportivo Italiano xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.9 – 0.5 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultExcursionistas to win ✓72%1.391.25
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓90%1.111.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.811.44
Draw no betExcursionistas (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapExcursionistas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.11
First team to scoreExcursionistas to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultExcursionistas ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas ✓45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.75–

Recent results

Excursionistas – last 6

DWLWWW
17 Oct@ San Martín Burzaco1–1D
10 Octvs Villa San Carlos4–0W
3 Oct@ Liniers0–1L
26 Sepvs Real Pilar3–0W
19 Sep@ UAI Urquiza2–1W
13 Sepvs Villa Dalmine3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

DWWWDL
17 Octvs Arsenal Sarandi0–0D
11 Oct@ Argentino de Merlo2–1W
4 Octvs Talleres Remedios2–0W
26 Sep@ Deportivo Laferrere2–1W
19 Sepvs Brown DE Adrogue0–0D
12 Sep@ Deportivo Armenio0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Sportivo Italiano v Excursionistas0–1
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?

On our numbers Excursionistas have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sportivo Italiano 10%.

How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our predicted score is Excursionistas 1–0 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?

Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.