Value bet: Under 1.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓37% · @2.80
Double chanceDeportivo Español or draw ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✓25% · fair 3.98
Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Español: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Monday 23 March: Victoriano Arenas v Deportivo Español in the Primera C, played at Estadio Saturnino Moure. In the table, Victoriano Arenas are 6th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Español are 3rd (among the top four) with 52.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Victoriano Arenas 0.6 xG, Deportivo Español 0.8 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Victoriano Arenas 26%, draw 37%, Deportivo Español 37%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Español or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Under 1.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoriano Arenas 0–0 Deportivo Español. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Victoriano Arenas26%fair 3.87 · @3.55
Draw37%fair 2.69 · @2.80
Deportivo Español37%fair 2.70 · @2.15
1.38Expected goals
0.60Victoriano Arenas xG
0.78Deportivo Español xG
45%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–025%
0–120%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%
From our goals model: Victoriano Arenas 0.6 – 0.8 Deportivo Español expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Victoriano Arenas
Deportivo Español
Attack vs Primera C average
-22%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-34%
-55%
Our expected goals here
0.38
0.47
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
37%
2.69
2.80
Double chance
Deportivo Español or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.50
Draw no bet
Deportivo Español (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Victoriano Arenas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Deportivo Español to score first✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✓
25%
3.98
–
Recent results
Victoriano Arenas – last 1
L
22 Feb
vs Puerto Nuevo
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Español – last 1
L
23 Feb
vs Yupanqui
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoriano Arenas and Deportivo Español.
What is the prediction for Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Español?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Español?
On our numbers Victoriano Arenas have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Deportivo Español 37%.
How many goals will there be in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Español?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Español?
Our predicted score is Victoriano Arenas 0–0 Deportivo Español, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Español?
Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Español (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Saturnino Moure.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Yupanqui1