Sacachispas 51%Draw 31%Puerto Nuevo 18%Expected goals 1.26 – 0.73
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSacachispas to win ✗51% · @1.73
Double chanceSacachispas or draw ✗82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Sacachispas vs Puerto Nuevo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Puerto Nuevo travel to face Sacachispas on Monday 6 April in the Primera C, with Estadio Beto Larrosa the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Sacachispas are 2nd, among the top four, on 50 points after 32 matches; Puerto Nuevo are 9th (lower half) with 41.
Current form
Puerto Nuevo, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Argentino Rosario, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sacachispas 1.3 xG, Puerto Nuevo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sacachispas 51%, draw 31%, Puerto Nuevo 18%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacachispas 1–0 Puerto Nuevo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sacachispas51%fair 1.95 · @1.73
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @3.10
Puerto Nuevo18%fair 5.65 · @5.20
1.99Expected goals
1.26Sacachispas xG
0.73Puerto Nuevo xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sacachispas 1.3 – 0.7 Puerto Nuevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sacachispas
Puerto Nuevo
Attack vs Primera C average
-27%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+23%
Our expected goals here
0.97
0.67
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacachispas to win✗
51%
1.95
1.73
Double chance
Sacachispas or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Sacachispas (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Puerto Nuevo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Sacachispas to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sacachispas / FT Sacachispas✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.61
–
Recent results
Sacachispas – last 1
W
20 Mar
vs Atletico Atlas
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Puerto Nuevo – last 3
DDW
29 Mar
vs Argentino Rosario
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Fénix
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Victoriano Arenas
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sacachispas and Puerto Nuevo.
What is the prediction for Sacachispas vs Puerto Nuevo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sacachispas vs Puerto Nuevo?
On our numbers Sacachispas have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Puerto Nuevo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sacachispas vs Puerto Nuevo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacachispas vs Puerto Nuevo?
Our predicted score is Sacachispas 1–0 Puerto Nuevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sacachispas vs Puerto Nuevo?
Sacachispas vs Puerto Nuevo (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Beto Larrosa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
