Estrella Del Sur 39%Draw 30%Canuelas 32%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.03
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Canuelas to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEstrella Del Sur to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Estrella Del Sur vs Canuelas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estrella Del Sur welcome Canuelas for a Primera C fixture on Sunday 19 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Estrella Del Sur are 3rd, among the top four, on 48 points after 32 matches; Canuelas are 2nd (among the top four) with 61. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estrella Del Sur, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with JJ Urquiza, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Canuelas, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Muñiz, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrella Del Sur 1.0 xG, Canuelas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrella Del Sur 39%, draw 30%, Canuelas 32%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Canuelas to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrella Del Sur 0–1 Canuelas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrella Del Sur39%fair 2.60 · @2.05
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.85
Canuelas32%fair 3.17 · @3.80
1.98Expected goals
0.95Estrella Del Sur xG
1.03Canuelas xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Estrella Del Sur 1.0 – 1.0 Canuelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Estrella Del Sur
Canuelas
Attack vs Primera C average
-1%
+50%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.73
1.11
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrella Del Sur to win✗
39%
2.60
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.55
Draw no bet
Estrella Del Sur (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Estrella Del Sur +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Canuelas to score first✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.63
–
Recent results
Estrella Del Sur – last 3
DDW
13 Apr
@ JJ Urquiza
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Mercedes
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Canuelas – last 3
DDW
30 Mar
@ Deportivo Muñiz
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Central Cordoba
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Claypole
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Del Sur and Canuelas.
What is the prediction for Estrella Del Sur vs Canuelas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Canuelas?
On our numbers Estrella Del Sur have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Canuelas 32%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Del Sur vs Canuelas?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Del Sur vs Canuelas?
Our predicted score is Estrella Del Sur 0–1 Canuelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Estrella Del Sur vs Canuelas?
Estrella Del Sur vs Canuelas (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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