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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sportivo Barracas v Deportivo Paraguayo: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
Sportivo Barracas 53%Draw 29%Deportivo Paraguayo 18% Expected goals 1.37 – 0.74
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Barracas to win ✗53% · @1.80
Double chanceSportivo Barracas or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99

Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Paraguayo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Barracas welcome Deportivo Paraguayo for a Primera C fixture on Monday 20 April (19:30 WAT). In the table, Sportivo Barracas are 7th, upper half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 32.

Current form

Sportivo Barracas, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lugano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Barracas 1.4 xG, Deportivo Paraguayo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Barracas 53%, draw 29%, Deportivo Paraguayo 18%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Barracas 1–1 Deportivo Paraguayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Barracas53%fair 1.89 · @1.80
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @3.00
Deportivo Paraguayo18%fair 5.57 · @4.60
2.10Expected goals
1.37Sportivo Barracas xG
0.74Deportivo Paraguayo xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sportivo Barracas 1.4 – 0.7 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sportivo BarracasDeportivo Paraguayo
Attack vs Primera C average-7%-20%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+12%
Our expected goals here1.130.67

Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Barracas to win ✗53%1.891.80
Double chanceSportivo Barracas or draw ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.67
Draw no betSportivo Barracas (draw no bet)75%1.34–
Asian handicapDeportivo Paraguayo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.581.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreSportivo Barracas to score first ✗57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sportivo Barracas / FT Sportivo Barracas ✗31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.99–

Recent results

Sportivo Barracas – last 5

WLDLL
8 Aprvs Lugano3–0W
5 Aprvs Central Ballester0–2L
29 Mar@ El Porvenir2–2D
25 Mar@ Atletico Tucuman1–2L
16 Marvs Fénix0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Deportivo Paraguayo – last 2

LD
5 Apr@ Argentino Rosario0–2L
15 Mar@ Berazategui0–0D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Barracas and Deportivo Paraguayo.

Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Paraguayo head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

On our numbers Sportivo Barracas have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Paraguayo 18%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Barracas 1–1 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.