Central Ballester 37%Draw 31%El Porvenir 32%Expected goals 1.05 – 0.92
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultCentral Ballester to win ✗37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Central Ballester vs El Porvenir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Monday 27 April: Central Ballester v El Porvenir in the Primera C. In the table, Central Ballester are 9th, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; El Porvenir are 8th (lower half) with 40. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Central Ballester, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sportivo Barracas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
El Porvenir, last 4: DDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fénix, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Central Ballester 1.1 xG, El Porvenir 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Central Ballester 37%, draw 31%, El Porvenir 32%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Ballester 1–0 El Porvenir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Central Ballester37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @2.70
El Porvenir32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
1.97Expected goals
1.05Central Ballester xG
0.92El Porvenir xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Central Ballester 1.1 – 0.9 El Porvenir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Central Ballester
El Porvenir
Attack vs Primera C average
-14%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.02
0.85
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Central Ballester to win✗
37%
2.69
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.60
Draw no bet
Central Ballester (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
El Porvenir +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Central Ballester to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.83
–
Recent results
Central Ballester – last 3
WLD
5 Apr
@ Sportivo Barracas
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ General Lamadrid
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leones de Rosario
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Porvenir – last 4
DDDD
22 Apr
@ Fénix
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Yupanqui
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Leones de Rosario
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Ballester and El Porvenir.
What is the prediction for Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
On our numbers Central Ballester have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 31% and El Porvenir 32%.
How many goals will there be in Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
Our predicted score is Central Ballester 1–0 El Porvenir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
Central Ballester vs El Porvenir (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
