Value bet: Mercedes to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDefensores de Cambaceres to win ✓36% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68
Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Friday 8 May: Defensores de Cambaceres v Mercedes in the Primera C. In the table, Defensores de Cambaceres are 10th, lower half, on 36 points after 32 matches; Mercedes are 5th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Defensores de Cambaceres, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leones de Rosario, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensores de Cambaceres 0.9 xG, Mercedes 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores de Cambaceres 36%, draw 31%, Mercedes 33%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Mercedes to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores de Cambaceres 0–0 Mercedes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensores de Cambaceres36%fair 2.78 · @2.25
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @2.75
Mercedes33%fair 3.03 · @3.30
1.75Expected goals
0.86Defensores de Cambaceres xG
0.89Mercedes xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Defensores de Cambaceres 0.9 – 0.9 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Defensores de Cambaceres
Mercedes
Attack vs Primera C average
-23%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-2%
Our expected goals here
0.82
0.97
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores de Cambaceres to win✓
36%
2.78
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.50
Draw no bet
Defensores de Cambaceres (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Defensores de Cambaceres +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
1.02
First team to score
Mercedes to score first
42%
2.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.68
–
Recent results
Defensores de Cambaceres – last 4
LWDL
20 Apr
vs Leones de Rosario
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Juventud Unida
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ General Lamadrid
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 1
D
5 Apr
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores de Cambaceres and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Defensores de Cambaceres have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Mercedes 33%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Defensores de Cambaceres 0–0 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes?
Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
