Sacachispas 38%Draw 30%Centro Español 32%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.03
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Centro Español to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSacachispas to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.89
Sacachispas vs Centro Español: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Monday 11 May: Sacachispas v Centro Español in the Primera C, played at Estadio Beto Larrosa. In the table, Sacachispas are 2nd, among the top four, on 50 points after 32 matches; Centro Español are 4th (among the top four) with 47. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sacachispas, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with JJ Urquiza, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Centro Español, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Argentino Rosario, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sacachispas 1.1 xG, Centro Español 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sacachispas 38%, draw 30%, Centro Español 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Centro Español to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacachispas 1–1 Centro Español. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sacachispas38%fair 2.65 · @2.15
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @2.90
Centro Español32%fair 3.13 · @3.50
2.10Expected goals
1.07Sacachispas xG
1.03Centro Español xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sacachispas 1.1 – 1.0 Centro Español expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sacachispas
Centro Español
Attack vs Primera C average
-27%
+37%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+8%
Our expected goals here
0.85
0.93
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacachispas to win✗
38%
2.65
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.44
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Sacachispas (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Centro Español +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sacachispas to score first
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.89
–
Recent results
Sacachispas – last 3
DLW
4 May
@ JJ Urquiza
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Puerto Nuevo
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Atletico Atlas
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Centro Español – last 4
WDLW
4 May
vs Argentino Rosario
3–2
W
3 Apr
@ Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
30 Mar
vs Lugano
1–3
L
23 Mar
@ Leones de Rosario
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sacachispas and Centro Español.
What is the prediction for Sacachispas vs Centro Español?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Sacachispas vs Centro Español?
On our numbers Sacachispas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Centro Español 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sacachispas vs Centro Español?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacachispas vs Centro Español?
Our predicted score is Sacachispas 1–1 Centro Español, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sacachispas vs Centro Español?
Sacachispas vs Centro Español (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Beto Larrosa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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