Double chanceDeportivo Español or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.46
Deportivo Español vs Mercedes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 18 May the Primera C brings Deportivo Español against Mercedes. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Español are 3rd, among the top four, on 52 points after 32 matches; Mercedes are 5th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Deportivo Español, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fénix, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Español 1.1 xG, Mercedes 0.5 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Español 51%, draw 31%, Mercedes 17%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Español or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Español 1–0 Mercedes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Español51%fair 1.95 · @1.95
Draw31%fair 3.18 · @2.95
Mercedes17%fair 5.80 · @3.90
1.62Expected goals
1.13Deportivo Español xG
0.49Mercedes xG
45%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–020%
2–013%
1–111%
0–110%
2–16%
From our goals model: Deportivo Español 1.1 – 0.5 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Español
Mercedes
Attack vs Primera C average
-13%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-55%
-2%
Our expected goals here
0.93
0.37
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Español to win✓
51%
1.95
1.95
Double chance
Deportivo Español or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.55
Draw no bet
Deportivo Español (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Mercedes +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.03
–
First team to score
Deportivo Español to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Español / FT Deportivo Español✓
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.46
–
Recent results
Deportivo Español – last 6
LDWDDL
11 May
@ Fénix
0–1
L
4 May
vs Sportivo Barracas
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs General Lamadrid
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Atletico Atlas
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Yupanqui
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 2
LD
8 May
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Español and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Deportivo Español have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Mercedes 17%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Español 1–0 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
Deportivo Español vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sportivo Barracas2