Value bet: Canuelas to win @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCanuelas to win ✗50% · @2.30
Double chanceCanuelas or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Canuelas vs El Porvenir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Canuelas welcome El Porvenir for a Primera C fixture on Sunday 7 June (19:30 WAT). In the table, Canuelas are 2nd, among the top four, on 61 points after 32 matches; El Porvenir are 8th (lower half) with 40. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Canuelas, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fénix, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
El Porvenir, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Muñiz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Canuelas 1.4 xG, El Porvenir 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Canuelas 50%, draw 27%, El Porvenir 23%.
Lower-risk option: Canuelas or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Canuelas to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Canuelas or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canuelas 1–0 El Porvenir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Canuelas50%fair 2.01 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.70
El Porvenir23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
2.12Expected goals
1.44Canuelas xG
0.68El Porvenir xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Canuelas 1.4 – 0.7 El Porvenir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Canuelas
El Porvenir
Attack vs Primera C average
+50%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.79
0.57
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canuelas to win✗
50%
2.01
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Canuelas or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Draw no bet
Canuelas (draw no bet)
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
El Porvenir +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Canuelas to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canuelas / FT Canuelas✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Recent results
Canuelas – last 6
WDWDDW
1 Jun
@ Fénix
2–0
W
17 May
@ Victoriano Arenas
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Estrella Del Sur
2–0
W
30 Mar
@ Deportivo Muñiz
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Central Cordoba
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Claypole
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
El Porvenir – last 6
WWDDDD
30 May
vs Deportivo Muñiz
2–1
W
27 Apr
@ Central Ballester
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Fénix
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Yupanqui
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Leones de Rosario
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canuelas and El Porvenir.
What is the prediction for Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
Our pick is Canuelas or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
On our numbers Canuelas have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and El Porvenir 23%.
How many goals will there be in Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
Our predicted score is Canuelas 1–0 El Porvenir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
Canuelas vs El Porvenir (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoriano Arenas1
Defensores de Cambaceres0