Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultMercedes to win ✗51% · @1.95
Double chanceMercedes or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.46
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mercedes welcome Deportivo Paraguayo for a Primera C fixture on Saturday 6 June (20:00 WAT). In the table, Mercedes are 5th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mercedes, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Puerto Nuevo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Deportivo Paraguayo, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lugano, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mercedes 1.3 xG, Deportivo Paraguayo 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mercedes 51%, draw 30%, Deportivo Paraguayo 20%.
Lower-risk option: Mercedes or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mercedes 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mercedes51%fair 1.97 · @1.95
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @2.90
Deportivo Paraguayo20%fair 5.09 · @4.10
1.93Expected goals
1.26Mercedes xG
0.67Deportivo Paraguayo xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mercedes 1.3 – 0.7 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mercedes
Deportivo Paraguayo
Attack vs Primera C average
+1%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.22
0.64
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mercedes to win✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Double chance
Mercedes or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.57
Draw no bet
Mercedes (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Paraguayo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Mercedes to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mercedes / FT Mercedes✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.46
–
Recent results
Mercedes – last 4
DLLD
30 May
@ Puerto Nuevo
1–1
D
18 May
@ Deportivo Español
0–1
L
8 May
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Deportivo Paraguayo – last 5
DLDLD
30 May
@ Lugano
0–0
D
17 May
vs Lujan
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Berazategui
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mercedes and Deportivo Paraguayo.
What is the prediction for Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
On our numbers Mercedes have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Deportivo Paraguayo 20%.
How many goals will there be in Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our predicted score is Mercedes 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Español1
Claypole0
Yupanqui2
Central Cordoba1
Leones de Rosario2
Sportivo Barracas0